Regional Cities and City Regions in Rural Australia by Peter John Smailes & Trevor Louis Charles Griffin & Neil Michael Argent

Author:Peter John Smailes & Trevor Louis Charles Griffin & Neil Michael Argent
Language: eng
Format: epub
ISBN: 9789811311116
Publisher: Springer Singapore

Source calculated by authors from 2011 and 2016 Census age/sex data by LGA and SA2, using ABS TableBuilder software

After a short time-lag, the smaller youth cohorts produced a drop in the workforce entry/exit ratio (ages 15–24/ages 55–64). In 2011, all the hinterland entry/exit ratios were already below unity; by 2016, these were joined by two of the regional cities themselves, while in every case, both city and hinterland ratios continued to deteriorate over the intercensal period.

A major cause of concern in our earlier discussion was the rapid decline of the major child-bearing age groups (25–39 years) in both centres and hinterlands to below the critical level of 15% of the population in 2011. This trend had levelled out somewhat by 2016, with five of the central cities having minor improvements, and only one more hinterland dropping below 15%. Even if temporary, this pause in a strong and continuous downward trend of 25 years (since 1986) may give some breathing space.

The last item Table 8.2, the elderly/child ratio (number 11 in Jackson’s sequence) is shown to be approaching or passing unity, signalling a population with more elderly people than children. In 2011, this situation had only been reached in Shepparton and Murray Bridge hinterlands; by 2016, Dubbo hinterland, and Murray Bridge and Mildura cities themselves, had also reached this level.

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